Texas Index Dips in February

Comerica Bank’s Texas Economic Activity Index fell slightly in February, declining 0.2 percentage points to a level of 105.5. The February reading is 34 points, or 48 percent, above the index cyclical low of 71.5. The index averaged 102 points for all of 2012, 10 points above the average for full-year 2011. January’s index reading was revised up to 105.7.

“Our Texas Index declined slightly again in February after a similar dip in January. Index components were mixed, with payrolls and drilling rig count higher. Exports, sales tax revenues, hotel occupancy, inverted unemployment claims and residential building permits all dipped in February,” said Robert Dye, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank. “Job creation remains a strong positive for the state and will help to support other components of the index going forward.”


The Texas Economic Activity Index consists of seven variables, as follows: nonfarm payrolls, exports, sales tax revenues, hotel occupancy rates, continuing claims for unemployment insurance, building permits and Baker Hughes rotary rig count. All data are seasonally adjusted, as necessary, and indexed to a base year of 2008. Nominal values have been converted to constant dollar values. Index levels are expressed in terms of three-month moving averages.

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