Comerica Bank’s Michigan Economic Activity Index decreased slightly in November, down 0.2 percentage point to a level of 131.4. November’s reading is 59 points, or 82 percent, above the index cyclical low of 72.1. The index averaged 114 for all of 2012, 11 points above the index average for 2011. October’s index reading was 131.6.
“Our Michigan Index eased in November as residential building permits dipped following a September surge. Job growth is a positive factor for the state, but it is beginning to fall below the U.S. average. In November, Michigan payrolls were up 1.5 percent over the previous 12 months while the U.S average gain was 1.7 percent,” said Robert Dye, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank. “Auto sales bounced through the fourth quarter; weaker in October, stronger in November and then weaker again in December. We expect auto sales to continue to increase moderately in 2014, supporting the Michigan economy, but the lift to the state economy from the recovery in the auto industry is easing as vehicle sales inch closer to their eventual upper limit.”
Click here for a PDF version of the Michigan Economic Activity Index: Michigan0114.