Author Archives: Daniel Sanabria

Comerica Bank’s California Index Up Slightly

Comerica Bank’s California Economic Activity Index was slightly up in March to a level of 119.8. March’s reading is 36 points, or 42 percent, above the index cyclical low of 84.1. The index averaged 119.8 points for all of 2015, … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Michigan Index Flattens as Auto Production Stabilizes

Comerica Bank’s Michigan Economic Activity Index declined in March, down 0.7 percentage points to a level of 127.2. March’s reading is 53 points, or 72 percent, above the index cyclical low of 74.0. The index averaged 124.3 points for all … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Texas Index Shows Slower Rate of Decline

Comerica Bank’s Texas Economic Activity Index declined slightly in March, down 0.2 percentage points to a level of 91.9. March’s reading is 19 points, or 26 percent, above the index cyclical low of 72.8. The index averaged 97.7 points for … Continue reading

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April Income and Spending, March House Prices:

Consumer Spending Adds to Fed Rate Hike Expectations U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.4 percent in April. After inflation and taxes, Real Disposable Income gained 0.2 percent for the month. Nominal Consumer Spending increased by a strong 1.0 percent in … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

U.S. economic data from this week confirm that the household sector is strengthening, driving a GDP rebound for the about-to-be completed second quarter. Labor market conditions are improving, home sales are ramping up, auto sales are robust and the strong … Continue reading

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May Income/Spending, June UI Claims

Strong Spending Points to Q2 GDP Rebound U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.5 percent in May. After taxes and inflation it gained 0.2 percent. Nominal Consumer Spending increased by 0.9 percent in May driven by auto sales. Initial Claims for … Continue reading

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From the Desk of Robert Dye

This morning, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released their third estimate of first quarter 2015 real GDP growth. It now shows a -0.2 percent annual rate, revised up from the previous estimate of -0.7 percent. The initial estimate, released at … Continue reading

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May Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders

Housing Heats Up Ahead of the Fed, Orders Lose Altitude on Aircraft New Home Sales for May increased by 2.2 percent to an annual rate of 546,000 units. Existing Home Sales in May gained 5.1 percent, to a 5.35 million … Continue reading

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From the Desk of Robert Dye

In its monetary policy statement this afternoon, the Federal Open Market Committee made no changes to interest rate policy. The Fed did acknowledge that the U.S. economy has recently improved, after a weak first quarter.  Fed officials believe that U.S. … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

The forward-looking data from this week were positive. The backward-looking numbers, not so much. U.S. real GDP growth for Q1 was revised to a -0.7 percent annual rate, about as expected. This is a backward looking number, and a number … Continue reading

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