Author Archives: Daniel Sanabria

February Employment, January International Trade

Better-Than-Expected Jobs Data Greenlights Another Fed Taper  The February Payroll Employment Survey showed a better-than-expected gain of 175,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for February increased to 6.7 percent with a weak gain in household employment. The U.S. International Trade Gap … Continue reading

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February ADP Employment, ISM Non-MF, Auto Sales, Ukraine Situation

Soft Data Says U.S. Still Under the Weather in February The ADP Employment Report for February showed a tepid gain of 139,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for February dipped to a still-positive 51.6 percent. February Auto Sales increased … Continue reading

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January Income and Spending, Construction Spending, Feb. ISM MF

Government Programs Support Income. Heating Bills Support Spending. U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.3 percent in January, driven by special factors. After accounting for inflation and taxes, Real Disposable Personal Income also gained 0.3 percent. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures were … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Data released in the last week of February are consistent with a winter soft patch, induced in large part by the brutal winter weather conditions gripping much of the country. Fortunately, we are also seeing signs that there is a … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Michigan Index Falls in December

Comerica Bank’s Michigan Economic Activity Index decreased in December, down 4.3 percentage points to a level of 127.1. December’s reading is 55 points, or 76 percent, above the index cyclical low of 72.1. The index averaged 126 for all of … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Texas Index Climbs in December

Comerica Bank’s Texas Economic Activity Index grew 1.2 percentage points in December to a level of 111.1. The December reading is 40 points, or 55 percent, above the index cyclical low of 71.6. The index averaged 105 points for all … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s California Index Boosted by Silicon Valley in December

Comerica Bank’s California Economic Activity Index grew in December, advancing 2.5 percentage points to a level of 111.4. December’s reading is 39 points, or 53 percent, above the index cyclical low of 72.7. The index averaged 106 points for all … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Florida Index Gains in December

Comerica Bank’s Florida Economic Activity Index grew 1.5 percentage points in December, to a level of 119.5. December’s index reading is 39 points, or 48 percent, above the index cyclical low of 80.6. The index averaged 115 in 2013, 10 … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Arizona Index Jumps in December

Comerica Bank’s Arizona Economic Activity Index expanded in December, up 4.4 percentage points to a level of 100.3. December’s index reading is 29 points, or 41 percent, above the index cyclical low of 71.3. The index averaged 96 points for … Continue reading

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Southern California Maintains Positive Outlook in 2014

Southern California labor markets continue to recover heading into 2014. Regional nonfarm employment gained 115,600 jobs in the 12 months ending in December. Boosts to nonfarm payrolls in 2013 included professional and business services, education and health services, and leisure … Continue reading

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