Category Archives: Daily

January Income and Spending, Construction Spending, Feb. ISM MF

Government Programs Support Income. Heating Bills Support Spending. U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.3 percent in January, driven by special factors. After accounting for inflation and taxes, Real Disposable Personal Income also gained 0.3 percent. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures were … Continue reading

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January Consumer Prices, Leading Indicators, Feb. UI Claims

Inflation Is Tame, Leading Indicators Are Positive, The Weather Is Here  The January Consumer Price Index increased by 0.1 percent, pushed by energy prices. The January Core CPI also increased by 0.1 percent, and was up 1.6 percent over 12 … Continue reading

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January Residential Construction, Producer Prices

Bad Winter Freezes Construction, New Producer Price Report January Housing Starts fell by 16.0 percent to an 880,000 unit annual rate. Bad weather was a factor. Permits for new residential construction dropped in January by 5.4 percent to a 937,000 … Continue reading

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January U.S. Employment

Another Quirky Jobs Report Out of Sync with Other Data, U. Rate Down to 6.6 Percent The January Payroll Employment Survey showed another weaker-than-expected gain of 113,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for January fell to 6.6 percent with a surge … Continue reading

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December International Trade, Q4 Productivity, Jan. UI Claims

Trade Data Points to Downward Revision in Q4 GDP The U.S. International Trade Gap widened to -$38.7 billion in December, weighing on Q4 GDP. Nonfarm Productivity increased at a 3.2 percent annual rate in 2013Q4. Unit Labor costs went down. … Continue reading

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January ADP Employment, ISM Surveys, Auto Sales, December Construction, SLOOS

Moderate Gain in ADP Employment Survey Does Not Raise Expectations for BLS Report The ADP Employment Report for January showed a moderate increase of 175,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Manufacturing Index for January dipped to a still-positive 51.3 percent. The … Continue reading

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December U.S. Employment

Quirky Jobs Report Blasts Arctic Air on Sanguine Outlook, U. Rate Down to 6.7 Percent The December Payroll Employment Survey showed a much weaker-than-expected gain of 74,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for December fell to 6.7 percent as the labor … Continue reading

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December ADP Employment, November Consumer Credit, FOMC Minutes

Labor Data is Positive, FOMC Contemplates Taper Trajectory  The ADP Employment Report for December showed an increase of 238,000 private-sector jobs. Consumer Credit for November expanded by $12.3 billion, almost all the increase was in nonrevolving. The FOMC Minutes from … Continue reading

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November International Trade, December ISM Non-Manufacturing, Auto Sales, Yellen Vote

Strong Trade Data Supportive of 2013Q4 GDP, Yellen Confirmed by Senate The U.S. International Trade Gap narrowed to $34.3 billion in November, a positive for Q4 GDP. The December ISM Non-Manufacturing Index fell to a still-positive 53.0 percent. U.S. light … Continue reading

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FOMC Policy Announcement

Fed Announces QE Taper to Begin in January, Funds Rate Guidance Modified The Federal Reserve will begin to taper its asset purchase program in January. Purchases of long-term Treasury Bonds will be reduced from $45 billion per month to $40 … Continue reading

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