Category Archives: Daily

February Leading Indicators, Existing Home Sales, March UI Claims, Fed Wrap-Up

Indicators Positive, Fed Signals Ongoing Unwind from Extraordinary Policy The Leading Economic Index for February increased by 0.5 percent, suggesting a spring thaw is coming. Existing Home Sales for February fell slightly to a 4.60 million unit annual rate. Initial … Continue reading

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February Residential Construction, Consumer Prices, Industrial Production

Permits and Production Up, Prices Tame, Fed Set to Taper February Housing Starts were little changed, down by 0.2 percent to a 907,000 unit annual rate. Permits for new residential construction increased in February by 7.7 percent to a 1,018,000 … Continue reading

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February Employment, January International Trade

Better-Than-Expected Jobs Data Greenlights Another Fed TaperĀ  The February Payroll Employment Survey showed a better-than-expected gain of 175,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for February increased to 6.7 percent with a weak gain in household employment. The U.S. International Trade Gap … Continue reading

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February ADP Employment, ISM Non-MF, Auto Sales, Ukraine Situation

Soft Data Says U.S. Still Under the Weather in February The ADP Employment Report for February showed a tepid gain of 139,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for February dipped to a still-positive 51.6 percent. February Auto Sales increased … Continue reading

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January Income and Spending, Construction Spending, Feb. ISM MF

Government Programs Support Income. Heating Bills Support Spending. U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.3 percent in January, driven by special factors. After accounting for inflation and taxes, Real Disposable Personal Income also gained 0.3 percent. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures were … Continue reading

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January Consumer Prices, Leading Indicators, Feb. UI Claims

Inflation Is Tame, Leading Indicators Are Positive, The Weather Is HereĀ  The January Consumer Price Index increased by 0.1 percent, pushed by energy prices. The January Core CPI also increased by 0.1 percent, and was up 1.6 percent over 12 … Continue reading

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January Residential Construction, Producer Prices

Bad Winter Freezes Construction, New Producer Price Report January Housing Starts fell by 16.0 percent to an 880,000 unit annual rate. Bad weather was a factor. Permits for new residential construction dropped in January by 5.4 percent to a 937,000 … Continue reading

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January U.S. Employment

Another Quirky Jobs Report Out of Sync with Other Data, U. Rate Down to 6.6 Percent The January Payroll Employment Survey showed another weaker-than-expected gain of 113,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for January fell to 6.6 percent with a surge … Continue reading

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December International Trade, Q4 Productivity, Jan. UI Claims

Trade Data Points to Downward Revision in Q4 GDP The U.S. International Trade Gap widened to -$38.7 billion in December, weighing on Q4 GDP. Nonfarm Productivity increased at a 3.2 percent annual rate in 2013Q4. Unit Labor costs went down. … Continue reading

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January ADP Employment, ISM Surveys, Auto Sales, December Construction, SLOOS

Moderate Gain in ADP Employment Survey Does Not Raise Expectations for BLS Report The ADP Employment Report for January showed a moderate increase of 175,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Manufacturing Index for January dipped to a still-positive 51.3 percent. The … Continue reading

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