Category Archives: General

March U.S. Employment

Labor Markets Thawing Out, Positive Feedbacks Are Engaging  U.S. Payroll Employment increased by 192,000 jobs in March. January and February were revised up. The Unemployment Rate for March was unchanged at 6.7 percent, with strong gains in the labor force. … Continue reading

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February International Trade, March ISM Non-MF and UI Claims

Trade Likely to Weigh on Q1 GDP, ISM Reports Supportive of March Jobs  The U.S. International Trade Gap widened to -$42.3 billion in February, as exports eased. The March ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 53.1, the jobs sub-index was positive. … Continue reading

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March ADP Employment, ISM MF, Auto Sales, February Construction

Q1 GDP Expected to Be Weak but Other Metrics Thawing Out The ADP Employment Report for March showed a moderate gain of 191,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Manufacturing Index for March increased to 53.7 percent, inventories are a concern. March … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

U.S. economic data released at the end of March remain consistent with our expectation that indicators will generally improve this spring as weather renormalizes. We expect to see an ongoing moderate economic expansion for this year, after a weak first … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Arizona Index Continues to Grow in January

Comerica Bank’s Arizona Economic Activity Index expanded in January, up 1.3 percentage points to a level of 101.6. January’s index reading is 30 points, or 42 percent, above the index cyclical low of 71.3. The index averaged 96 points for … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Florida Index Declines in January

Comerica Bank’s Florida Economic Activity Index dipped 2.2 percentage points in January, to a level of 117.2. January’s index reading is 37 points, or 45 percent, above the index cyclical low of 80.6. The index averaged 115 in 2013, 10 … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Texas Index Cooled in January

Comerica Bank’s Texas Economic Activity Index decreased 0.9 percentage points in January to a level of 110.2. The January reading is 39 points, or 54 percent, above the index cyclical low of 71.6. The index averaged 105 points for all … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s Michigan Index Down Again in January

Comerica Bank’s Michigan Economic Activity Index continued to decrease in January, down 1.6 percentage points to a level of 125.6. January’s reading is 54 points, or 74 percent, above the index cyclical low of 72.1. The index averaged 126 for … Continue reading

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Comerica Bank’s California Index Dips in January

Comerica Bank’s California Economic Activity Index declined in January, down 1.6 percentage points to a level of 110.1. January’s reading is 37 points, or 51 percent, above the index cyclical low of 72.7. The index averaged 106 points for all … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Generally improving economic data for February and into early March support the view that bad weather was a factor in December and January, and that metrics will tend to improve this spring. The residential construction report for February indicated that … Continue reading

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