Category Archives: United States

The Push and the Pull

Posted on May 13, 2013 by Comerica Economics

The U.S. economy is experiencing the opposing forces of expansive monetary policy and tightening fiscal policy. Between the push and the pull, the private sector is expected to grow moderately through the remainder of this year, enough to bring the unemployment rate down slowly and keep real estate markets heading in a positive direction. Continue reading →

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Posted in General, Monthly, United States | Comments Off

Comerica Economic Weekly

Posted on May 3, 2013 by Comerica Economics

Unemployment insurance claims and chain‐store sales, both due out Thursday, will be the most watched economic numbers for the week ahead. Continue reading →

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Posted in United States, Weekly | Tagged , , | Comments Off

April U.S. Employment and ISM Non‐Manufacturing, March Intl. Trade

Posted on May 3, 2013 by Comerica Economics

Bullet Dodged as Payrolls Gain, Upward Revisions Help The April Payroll Employment Survey showed a moderate gain of 165,000 jobs, with positive revisions. The Unemployment Rate for February decreased to 7.5 percent, as the household survey gained 293K. Average Weekly … Continue reading →

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Posted in Daily, United States | Tagged , , | Comments Off

FOMC Policy Announcement

Posted on May 1, 2013 by Comerica Economics

FOMC Stays the Course, QE3 Sails On, Other News Mixed QE3 will continue as originally defined with a total of $85 billion of asset purchases per month. The FOMC is prepared to change the pace of purchases as conditions change. … Continue reading →

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Posted in Daily, General, United States | Tagged | Comments Off

March Income and Spending

Posted on May 1, 2013 by Comerica Economics

Income and spending data for March show modest gains after adjusting for inflation. But for the first quarter as a whole, real disposable personal income (after inflation and taxes) showed the biggest quarterly drop since the Great Recession. Continue reading →

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Posted in Daily, United States | Tagged | Comments Off

Comerica Economic Weekly

Posted on May 1, 2013 by Comerica Economics

April showers have been raining on U.S. economic data; it looks a bit soggy as we close out the month. GDP increased at a weaker-than-expected 2.5 percent annualized rate in the first quarter as weather played an outsized role. Colder … Continue reading →

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Posted in United States, Weekly | Tagged , | Comments Off

March Residential Construction, Consumer Prices, Industrial Production

Posted on April 16, 2013 by Luke Pearson

Starts Hit Million Unit Rate, Consumer Prices Dip, Output Boosted by Weather Housing Starts for March increased by 7.0 percent to a 1,036,000 unit annual rate. Permits for new residential construction dipped in March by 3.9 percent to a 902,000 … Continue reading →

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April Consumer Sentiment, March Retail Sales, PPI, Feb. Biz Inventories

Posted on April 12, 2013 by Comerica Economics

Q1 Expected to Show Moderate to Strong Expansion, False Positives, False Negatives   University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment sank in April to 72.3 after three months of gains. March Retail Sales decreased by 0.4 percent as gasoline prices dropped and … Continue reading →

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Posted in Daily, United States | Comments Off

The Inventory Swing and the Fiscal Cliff Increase Odds of Mid‐Year Lull

Posted on April 11, 2013 by Comerica Economics

Real GDP growth for the recently completed first quarter of 2013 appears likely to exceed earlier expectations when the first estimate is released on April 26. Despite the drag from fiscal tightening, real GDP growth is set to register in … Continue reading →

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Posted in General, Monthly, United States | Tagged , , | Comments Off

Comerica Economic Weekly

Posted on March 29, 2013 by Comerica Economics

U.S. economic data at the close of the first quarter was mixed, consistent with the view that economic momentum continued through the quarter, but conditions remain far from normal in part due to ongoing uncertainty about fiscal tightening and other … Continue reading →

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Posted in United States, Weekly | Comments Off