Category Archives: United States

July Residential Construction, Consumer Prices

Construction Revved Up, Prices Tame July Housing Starts were up significantly, by 15.7 percent to a 1,093,000 unit annual rate. Permits for new residential construction increased in July by 8.1 percent to a 1,052,000 unit pace. The Consumer Price Index … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

As we go to press financial markets are responding to an escalation in the Ukraine/Russia conflict. Indeed, financial markets have been buffeted recently by heightened geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and in the Middle East. U.S. economic data for the … Continue reading

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July Retail Sales, NFIB, June JOLTS

Shoppers Feeling Good, Went on Vacation in July, Sales Soft  Retail Sales for July disappointed, unchanged from June, providing a soft start to Q3 consumer spending. Ex-auto Retail Sales gained just 0.1 percent, pushed by clothing, personal care and food/beverages. … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Global financial markets were on edge this week, reacting to events outside the U.S. as geopolitical tensions increased in Ukraine and in the Middle East. Concern spread that Europe’s economic recovery may be stalling. China and Japan also appear to … Continue reading

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June International Trade, July ISM Non-MF, Mortgage Apps

U.S. Economic Data Continues a Strong Run The U.S. International Trade Gap narrowed to -$41.5 billion in June, adding to Q2 GDP. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index advanced to 58.7 in June, its best reading ever, since 2008. The Composite Index … Continue reading

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August 2014, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

Q2 GDP Bounce-Back Confirmed, but Rapid Growth is Not Sustainable The first estimate of Q2 real GDP growth exceeded expectations at 4.0 percent. Q2 GDP was boosted by an unsustainable surge in inventories, accounting for 1.7 percentage points of the … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

U.S. economic data from the last week of July show a good start to Q3, but likely lower GDP growth than we saw in Q2. The first estimate of 2014Q2 real GDP growth came in stronger than expected, at a … Continue reading

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July U.S. Employment, June Income and Spending

Solid Job Growth Shows Ongoing Improvement to U.S. Economy July U.S. Payroll Employment increased by 209,000 jobs. May and June were revised up by 15,000. The Unemployment Rate for July ticked up inconsequentially to 6.2 percent. Average Hourly Earnings were … Continue reading

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2014Q2 GDP, July ADP Employment

Inventory Rebound Propels Q2 GDP, Job Growth Continues Real Gross Domestic Product growth for 2014Q2 was stronger than expected at 4.0 percent. Inventories rebounded after a weak first quarter, adding 1.7 percent to real GDP growth, not sustainable. Real Consumer … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

U.S. economic data was generally a little softer than expected this week. This is not surprising given the spate of stronger-than-expected data we have seen through early summer. Even though data was soft, it remains consistent with our view that … Continue reading

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