Category Archives: United States

October ISM Manufacturing, September Construction Spending

Strong ISM MF Report Bolsters Case for Solid U.S. Economy, Despite Global Headwinds The ISM Manufacturing Index for October increased to a robust 59.0 percent. October Construction Spending dipped by 0.4 percent, with easing public construction. Let’s not call it … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

October ended with a treat and not a trick. U.S. equity indexes are approaching all time highs at the end of October, reversing a month-long slide that began in mid-September. The rebound in U.S. equity prices and the change in … Continue reading

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2014Q3 GDP, Federal Reserve Policy Announcement, October UI Claims

The End of the World Is Over, Solid Data Trumps Market Jitters Real Gross Domestic Product increased at a 3.5 percent annualized rate in 2014Q3. The Federal Reserve ends balance sheet expansion, another step in the pivot. Initial Claims for … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Financial markets had a calmer week this week, following the equity market swoon into mid-October. Equity prices trended higher and bond yields followed, though the yield on 10-Year Treasury bonds is still quite low at 2.24 percent as of Friday … Continue reading

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September Consumer Prices, Existing Home Sales

Inflation Low as Oil Prices Fall, Home Sales Best in a Year The September Consumer Price Index increased by 0.1 percent, boosted by food prices. The September Core CPI also gained 0.1 percent, and was up 1.7 percent over the … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

October is often an “interesting” month for financial markets. No exception this year. At week’s end, global equity prices appear to have settled after a major slide. The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds dipped below 2.0 percent on Wednesday and … Continue reading

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September Retail Sales, Producer Prices, August Inventories

Soft Sales Data Adds Momentum to De-Risking, Stocks Sell-Off, Bond Yields Fall September Retail Sales decreased by 0.3 percent, adding to de-risking momentum in financial markets. Ex-auto Retail Sales decreased by 0.2 percent. Most categories were down. Gasoline prices dropped. … Continue reading

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October 2014, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

Coupling, Decoupling, Reverberations and Over-Steer Increased awareness of downside risk has shaken financial markets since mid-September. The S&P 500 Index has declined nearly 7 percent from its September 18 peak at 2011 to October 14 at 1882. Likewise, Treasury bond … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

We had a light economic data calendar this week, but financial markets were very much in the news. Dominating the economic news was the release of the Federal Open Market Committee’s minutes from their meeting of September 16/17. In the … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

We had plenty of data to digest this week, most of which was positive. Even though some metrics declined, the dips were generally from very strong levels and not indicative of an enduring downshift in economic activity. Next week’s calendar … Continue reading

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