Category Archives: United States

Comerica Economic Weekly

Data released in the last week of February are consistent with a winter soft patch, induced in large part by the brutal winter weather conditions gripping much of the country. Fortunately, we are also seeing signs that there is a … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Most U.S. economic data this week shows the adverse impact of much-worse-than-normal winter weather. However, there is a current of momentum beneath the ice. The Conference Board’s Leading Index increased by 0.3 percent in January. Both the coincident and the … Continue reading

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January Consumer Prices, Leading Indicators, Feb. UI Claims

Inflation Is Tame, Leading Indicators Are Positive, The Weather Is Here  The January Consumer Price Index increased by 0.1 percent, pushed by energy prices. The January Core CPI also increased by 0.1 percent, and was up 1.6 percent over 12 … Continue reading

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January Residential Construction, Producer Prices

Bad Winter Freezes Construction, New Producer Price Report January Housing Starts fell by 16.0 percent to an 880,000 unit annual rate. Bad weather was a factor. Permits for new residential construction dropped in January by 5.4 percent to a 937,000 … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Mother nature is dominating the economic headlines as yet another winter storm pounded the South Atlantic and Mid-Atlantic regions this week. The majority of the economic data that we discuss here is seasonally adjusted. That means that normal seasonal weather … Continue reading

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February 2014, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

The Outlook for 2014 is Positive, But There Will Be Bumps We provide a grade of our economic outlook as a high-level assessment of our near-term expectations for the U.S. economy. A “C” rated outlook is consistent with a moderate … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Payroll employment expanded by 113,000 jobs in January, below expectations. This follows on the heels of a weak December report, when only 75,000 jobs were added. The unemployment rate fell to 6.6 percent in January, just above the Federal Reserve’s … Continue reading

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January U.S. Employment

Another Quirky Jobs Report Out of Sync with Other Data, U. Rate Down to 6.6 Percent The January Payroll Employment Survey showed another weaker-than-expected gain of 113,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for January fell to 6.6 percent with a surge … Continue reading

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December International Trade, Q4 Productivity, Jan. UI Claims

Trade Data Points to Downward Revision in Q4 GDP The U.S. International Trade Gap widened to -$38.7 billion in December, weighing on Q4 GDP. Nonfarm Productivity increased at a 3.2 percent annual rate in 2013Q4. Unit Labor costs went down. … Continue reading

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January ADP Employment, ISM Surveys, Auto Sales, December Construction, SLOOS

Moderate Gain in ADP Employment Survey Does Not Raise Expectations for BLS Report The ADP Employment Report for January showed a moderate increase of 175,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Manufacturing Index for January dipped to a still-positive 51.3 percent. The … Continue reading

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