Category Archives: United States

June ISM Non-NMF, Auto Sales, May International Trade

Service Sector Gains Momentum at Mid-Year, June Employment Indicators Positive The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for June increased to 56.5 percent. The U.S. International Trade Gap widened in May to -$41.1 billion. U.S. Auto Sales for June dipped to a 16.7 … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

This week we saw that the historic BREXIT was not the end of the world. But it was a wakeup call for global financial markets that were surprisingly complacent heading into the vote, and were surprised by the outcome. Given … Continue reading

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May Income and Spending, April Case-Shiller HPI

Another Solid Spending Report Supports Expectations of Stronger Q2 GDP  U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.2 percent in May. After inflation and taxes, Real Disposable Income gained 0.1 percent for the month. Nominal Consumer Spending increased by 0.4 percent in … Continue reading

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BREXIT

The World has Changed The consequences of BREXIT will be felt over years. The odds of a fed funds rate hike this year are significantly lower because of BREXIT. In a stunning rebuke to transnationalism, the citizens of the United … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

U.S. data released this week were consistent with an economy that has warmed up a bit after a chilly Q1. Retail sales beat expectations for the second month, increasing in May by 0.5 percent. Already strong April retail sales growth … Continue reading

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May Consumer Prices, June UI Claims, Fed Policy, BREXIT

Warming Inflation, but Not Yet Hot, Warming BREXIT Too  The May Consumer Price Index increased by 0.2 percent with gains in energy prices. The May Core CPI also gained 0.2 percent, and was up 2.2 percent over the previous 12 … Continue reading

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May Retail Sales, NFIB Survey, Import Prices, April Inventories

Second Month of Solid Sales Supported by Gasoline May Retail Sales increased by 0.5 percent, after gaining 1.3 percent in April. Ex-auto Retail Sales improved by 0.4 percent, supported by gasoline station sales. The NFIB’s Business Optimism Index increased slightly … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Economists are still trying to digest the big miss in the May payroll data, when only 38,000 payroll jobs were added for the month. It was a light week for data, but three data releases from this week add to … Continue reading

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June 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

Recent U.S. economic data has generally been positive. The very weak first quarter real GDP growth has been revised up from the initial estimate of 0.5 percent annualized, to 0.8 percent. We expect to see another minor upward revision to … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

It was a short but interesting data-intensive week for the U.S. economy, starting out with a positive income and spending report for April and ending with a clunker of a jobs report for May. Income and spending data for April … Continue reading

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