Tag Archives: alert

January ISM Manufacturing, December Income and Construction Spending

Manufacturing Sector Still Expanding but West Coast Docks Problematic The ISM Manufacturing Index for January decreased to a still-positive 53.5 percent. December Personal Income increased by 0.3 percent with little help from wages and salaries. December Personal Consumption Expenditures decreased … Continue reading

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2014Q4 GDP, January UI Claims

Fourth Quarter Real GDP Growth Eased to 2.6 Percent Real Gross Domestic Product growth for 2014Q4 eased to 2.6 percent after 5 percent growth in Q3. Inventories were stronger than expected, setting the stage for weaker gains in 2015Q1. Real … Continue reading

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December 2014 U.S. Employment

Another Strong Month for Job Creation, Unemployment Rate Falls to 5.6 Percent The December Payroll Employment Survey showed a gain of 252,000 payroll jobs. The Unemployment Rate for December dropped to 5.6 percent. Average Weekly Hours for all employees were … Continue reading

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January Rig Count, December ADP Employment, ISM Non-MF Index, Auto Sales, November Trade

U.S. Economy Finishes 2014 Strong, Oil Prices and Rig Count Still Sliding The December ADP Employment Report showed a strong gain of 241,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for December eased to a still-positive 56.2. Light Vehicle Sales for … Continue reading

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September Industrial Production and Pending Home Sales, October Texas MF Production Driven by Utilities. Housing Indicator Shows Vulnerability Industrial Production for September increased by 0.6 percent as utility production rebounded. The Pending Home Sales index for September declined by 5.6 … Continue reading

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June New and Existing Home Sales, July FOMC Preview

Existing Sales Dip, But New Home Sales Surge New Home Sales for June increased by 8.3 percent to a 497,000 unit annual rate. The Months’ Supply of New Homes on the market fell to a very tight 3.9 months’ worth … Continue reading

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June ISM Manufacturing, May Construction Spending

Indicators Show Moderate Growth in Just-Completed Second Quarter  The ISM Manufacturing Index for June increased to 50.9 percent, indicating slight improvement. Construction Spending for May gained 0.5 percent, held down by weak private non-residential activity. We cross the mid-year 2013 … Continue reading

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May Income and Spending, June UI Claims, Q1 GDP Revision

Income Gains Plus Home Equity Accumulation Equals Steadier Consumer Spending  U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.5 percent in May, driven by interest and dividend income. After accounting for inflation and taxes, Real Disposable Personal Income gained 0.4 percent in May. … Continue reading

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FOMC Policy Announcement

No Taper in June, Language a Little More Positive  QE3 will continue as originally defined with a total of $85 billion of asset purchases per month. The FOMC is prepared to change the pace of purchases as conditions change. The … Continue reading

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May Consumer Prices, Residential Construction

Two More Data Points for the Fed to Consider                                                              The May Consumer Price Index increased by 0.1 percent as food prices fell. The May Core CPI increased by 0.2 percent, gaining 1.7 percent over the previous 12 months. Housing Starts … Continue reading

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