Tag Archives: daily

July Retail Sales, NFIB Survey, June Business Inventories

Headline Sales Modest but Underlying Data Looks Good July Retail Sales increased by just 0.2 percent, as auto sales dipped following a strong June. Ex-auto Retail Sales gained 0.5 percent, boosted by higher gasoline prices. The NFIB’s Small Business Optimism … Continue reading

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June International Trade, JOLTS, July ISM Non-manufacturing

Trade Gap Stunner Says Q2 GDP to be Revised Up The U.S. International Trade Gap narrowed significantly in June to -$34.2 billion. Better-than-expected trade data for the end of Q2 implies a sizeable upward revision to Q2 GDP. The Jobs … Continue reading

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July U.S. Employment and June Income and Spending

Jobs Report Confounds in Both Directions, Payrolls Weaker, Unemployment Better  The July Payroll Employment Survey showed a weaker-than-expected gain of 162,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for July decreased to 7.4 percent, better than expected. Average Weekly Hours ticked down for … Continue reading

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July ISM Manufacturing, UI Claims, June Construction Spending

More Good News as Key Manufacturing Indicator Jumps  The ISM Manufacturing Index for July increased to 55.4 percent, well above expectations. Construction Spending for June dipped by 0.6 percent as public projects continued to shrink. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance … Continue reading

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FOMC Policy Announcement

Fed Adds Little to QE3 Debate QE3 will continue as originally defined with a total of $85 billion of asset purchases per month. The FOMC is prepared to change the pace of purchases as conditions change. The near-zero fed funds … Continue reading

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2013Q2 GDP, July ADP Employment

Good News and Bad News: Current Data Better Than Expected but History Revised Down Real Gross Domestic Product increased at a better-than-expected 1.7 percent annualized rate in 2013Q2. Real Consumer Spending increased at a moderate 1.8 percent annual rate in … Continue reading

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June New and Existing Home Sales, July FOMC Preview

Existing Sales Dip, But New Home Sales Surge New Home Sales for June increased by 8.3 percent to a 497,000 unit annual rate. The Months’ Supply of New Homes on the market fell to a very tight 3.9 months’ worth … Continue reading

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June Residential Construction, Bernanke Testimony

Construction Corrects After Strong Run, Bernanke Reaffirms Desire to Wind Down QE3 June Housing Starts fell by 9.9 percent to an 836,000 unit annual rate, slowest since August 2012. Permits for new residential construction dropped in June by 7.5 percent … Continue reading

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June Consumer Prices, Industrial Production, Retail Sales, May Inventories

Data Consistent with September QE Unwind, Bernanke Testimony Likely to be Cautious The June Consumer Price Index increased by 0.5 percent as energy prices increased. The June Core CPI increased by 0.2 percent, dampening fears of deflation. Industrial Production expanded … Continue reading

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May New Home Sales, Durable Goods, June Consumer Confidence, April House Prices

Positive Data Soothes Equity Markets, Summer of Volatility  New Home Sales for May increased by 2.1 percent to a 476,000 unit annual rate. New Orders for Durable Goods were up 3.6 percent in May, led by commercial aircraft. The Conference … Continue reading

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