Tag Archives: Economic Alert

January Residential Construction, Producer Prices

Bad Winter Freezes Construction, New Producer Price Report January Housing Starts fell by 16.0 percent to an 880,000 unit annual rate. Bad weather was a factor. Permits for new residential construction dropped in January by 5.4 percent to a 937,000 … Continue reading

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January U.S. Employment

Another Quirky Jobs Report Out of Sync with Other Data, U. Rate Down to 6.6 Percent The January Payroll Employment Survey showed another weaker-than-expected gain of 113,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for January fell to 6.6 percent with a surge … Continue reading

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December International Trade, Q4 Productivity, Jan. UI Claims

Trade Data Points to Downward Revision in Q4 GDP The U.S. International Trade Gap widened to -$38.7 billion in December, weighing on Q4 GDP. Nonfarm Productivity increased at a 3.2 percent annual rate in 2013Q4. Unit Labor costs went down. … Continue reading

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January ADP Employment, ISM Surveys, Auto Sales, December Construction, SLOOS

Moderate Gain in ADP Employment Survey Does Not Raise Expectations for BLS Report The ADP Employment Report for January showed a moderate increase of 175,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Manufacturing Index for January dipped to a still-positive 51.3 percent. The … Continue reading

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December U.S. Employment

Quirky Jobs Report Blasts Arctic Air on Sanguine Outlook, U. Rate Down to 6.7 Percent The December Payroll Employment Survey showed a much weaker-than-expected gain of 74,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for December fell to 6.7 percent as the labor … Continue reading

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December ADP Employment, November Consumer Credit, FOMC Minutes

Labor Data is Positive, FOMC Contemplates Taper Trajectory  The ADP Employment Report for December showed an increase of 238,000 private-sector jobs. Consumer Credit for November expanded by $12.3 billion, almost all the increase was in nonrevolving. The FOMC Minutes from … Continue reading

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November International Trade, December ISM Non-Manufacturing, Auto Sales, Yellen Vote

Strong Trade Data Supportive of 2013Q4 GDP, Yellen Confirmed by Senate The U.S. International Trade Gap narrowed to $34.3 billion in November, a positive for Q4 GDP. The December ISM Non-Manufacturing Index fell to a still-positive 53.0 percent. U.S. light … Continue reading

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FOMC Policy Announcement

Fed Announces QE Taper to Begin in January, Funds Rate Guidance Modified The Federal Reserve will begin to taper its asset purchase program in January. Purchases of long-term Treasury Bonds will be reduced from $45 billion per month to $40 … Continue reading

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November U.S. Employment, October Personal Income

One Step Closer to QE Taper, Last Hurdle Is a Budget Deal  The November Payroll Employment Survey showed a solid gain of 203,000 jobs. The November Household Survey of Employment recovered from its October swoon, adding 818,000 jobs. The Unemployment … Continue reading

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Nov. ADP Employment, ISM Indexes, Auto Sales, New Home Sales, Oct. Trade

Better Economic Data for Fed to Contemplate The ADP Employment Report for November showed an increase of 215,000 private sector jobs. The November ISM Manufacturing Survey PMI improved to a solid 57.3 percent. The November ISM Non-Manufacturing Survey’s Purchasing Managers’ … Continue reading

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