Tag Archives: Economic Alert

Yellen Testimony, Q1 Productivity, April ISM-NMF, March Trade

No Surprises from Yellen Testimony, Eyes on Housing  FOMC Chairwoman Janet Yellen delivered reassuring testimony before the Joint Economic Committee. U.S. Nonfarm Productivity declined at a 1.7 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2014. Unit Labor Costs increased … Continue reading

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April U.S. Employment, Auto Sales

Upside Surprise as Job Growth Hits 288K, U Rate Down to 6.3 Percent The April Payroll Employment Survey showed a much better-than-expected gain of 288,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for April fell to 6.3 percent, but not for good reasons. … Continue reading

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April ISM Manufacturing, FOMC, March Construction, Income/Spending

Grab Bag of Data Consistent with Ongoing Expansion  The ISM Manufacturing Index for April increased to a solid 54.9 percent, boosted by employment. The Federal Reserve tapered asset purchases as expected. No change to the fed funds rate. March Construction … Continue reading

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2014Q1 GDP, April ADP Jobs, February House prices

As Expected, First Quarter GDP Clunker, Second Quarter Metrics Solid Real Gross Domestic Product growth was barely positive at a 0.1 percent annualized rate. The ADP Employment Report for April showed a solid gain of 220,000 private-sector jobs for the … Continue reading

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March New and Existing Home Sales

Spring Home Sales Off to a Slow Start  New Home Sales for March fell sharply by 14.5 percent to an annual rate of just 384,000 units. The Months’ Supply of New Homes on the market increased to 6.0 months’ worth … Continue reading

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March Residential Construction, Industrial Production

Starts Up, Production Up and Positive for GDP March Housing Starts were up by 2.8 percent to a 946,000 unit annual rate. Permits for new residential construction decreased in March by 2.4 percent to a 990,000 unit pace. Industrial Production … Continue reading

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March Consumer Prices, Retail Sales

Housing and Food Push Consumer Prices Up, Retail Sales Strong  The March Consumer Price Index increased by 0.2 percent, as rents moved up. The March Core CPI also increased by 0.2 percent, and was up 1.7 percent over the past … Continue reading

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March U.S. Employment

Labor Markets Thawing Out, Positive Feedbacks Are Engaging  U.S. Payroll Employment increased by 192,000 jobs in March. January and February were revised up. The Unemployment Rate for March was unchanged at 6.7 percent, with strong gains in the labor force. … Continue reading

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February International Trade, March ISM Non-MF and UI Claims

Trade Likely to Weigh on Q1 GDP, ISM Reports Supportive of March Jobs  The U.S. International Trade Gap widened to -$42.3 billion in February, as exports eased. The March ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 53.1, the jobs sub-index was positive. … Continue reading

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March ADP Employment, ISM MF, Auto Sales, February Construction

Q1 GDP Expected to Be Weak but Other Metrics Thawing Out The ADP Employment Report for March showed a moderate gain of 191,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Manufacturing Index for March increased to 53.7 percent, inventories are a concern. March … Continue reading

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