Tag Archives: monthly

August 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

The July jobs report put to rest lingering fears of a downshift in U.S. job growth that were amplified by a weak May employment report. A strong 255,000 net new jobs were added to the U.S. economy in July following … Continue reading

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July 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

The historic vote in the United Kingdom to leave the European Union sent shock waves through global financial markets, dropping sovereign bond yields and supporting the dollar relative to the pound and the euro. The discreet event is over, the … Continue reading

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June 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

Recent U.S. economic data has generally been positive. The very weak first quarter real GDP growth has been revised up from the initial estimate of 0.5 percent annualized, to 0.8 percent. We expect to see another minor upward revision to … Continue reading

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May 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

When you are flying close to the treetops, you have to watch out for the downdrafts. Clearly the U.S. economy was flying close to the treetops in the first quarter of this year. Real GDP growth registered a weak 0.5 … Continue reading

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April 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

We expect to see another sub-par GDP report for the recently completed first quarter of 2016 when the first estimate of Q1 GDP growth is released on April 28. Consumer spending has been stable, but uninspired. Business investment has been … Continue reading

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March 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

The quality of U.S. economic data has shifted in recent weeks from being generally a little worse than expected to being generally a little better than expected. The February payroll data showed a strong 242,000 jobs added to the U.S. … Continue reading

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February 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

We believe that household balance sheets will be a source of strength and stability for the U.S. economy in 2016, even with the choppy start to the year. That is not to say that consumers will spend rabidly and aggressively … Continue reading

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January 2016, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

We begin 2016 with expectations of ongoing moderate growth for the U.S. economy. Real GDP growth steps down from 2.4 percent in 2015, to about 2.1 percent for all of 2016. Strong job growth, low gasoline prices, easier mortgage credit, … Continue reading

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December 2015, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

Janet Yellen’s speech of September 24 articulated her views on inflation, concluding that below-2-percent inflation was attributable to special factors that would prove transitory. We assume that she still has that view. Even with oil prices now below $40 per … Continue reading

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November 2015, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

After two weaker-than-expected payroll job gains in August and September, job growth bounced back in October, with payrolls up a robust 271,000 for the month. The disappointing August and September payrolls total were also revised up by 12,000 jobs, not … Continue reading

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