Tag Archives: u.s.

Comerica Economic Weekly

Unemployment insurance claims and chain‐store sales, both due out Thursday, will be the most watched economic numbers for the week ahead. Continue reading

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March Residential Construction, Consumer Prices, Industrial Production

Starts Hit Million Unit Rate, Consumer Prices Dip, Output Boosted by Weather Housing Starts for March increased by 7.0 percent to a 1,036,000 unit annual rate. Permits for new residential construction dipped in March by 3.9 percent to a 902,000 … Continue reading

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The Inventory Swing and the Fiscal Cliff Increase Odds of Mid‐Year Lull

Real GDP growth for the recently completed first quarter of 2013 appears likely to exceed earlier expectations when the first estimate is released on April 26. Despite the drag from fiscal tightening, real GDP growth is set to register in … Continue reading

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Posted in General, Monthly, United States | Tagged , , | Comments Off

U.S. Economy Maintains Momentum As Fiscal Headwinds Increase

The federal spending sequester took effect March 1. The $85 billion reduction in federal defense and nondefense discretionary spending for FY2013 is expected to exert about a 0.6 percent drag on real GDP growth for 2013. This adds to the … Continue reading

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Posted in Monthly, United States | Tagged , , | Comments Off

January Retail Sales, NFIB Survey, December JOLTS

Consumers Off to a Sluggish Start for Q1, Taxes Matter January Retail Sales increased by just 0.1 percent as consumers adjusted to higher taxes. Ex-auto Retail Sales gained 0.2 percent as general merchandise stores gained 1.1 percent. The NFIB Business … Continue reading

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Posted in Daily, United States | Tagged , , , | Comments Off

Comerica Economic Weekly

It was a light week for economic data with nothing to dispel the fog that has settled over the current quarter as  we wait to see how consumers react to fiscal tightening. Strong income growth in December due to tax-avoidance … Continue reading

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Posted in United States, Weekly | Tagged , , | Comments Off

Animal Spirits, Monetary Stimulus and Fiscal Tightening

In their 2009 book entitled “Animal Spirits,” George Akerlof and Robert Shiller characterize the term as a “restless and inconsistent element in the economy…sometimes we are paralyzed by it. Yet at other times it refreshes and energizes us, overcoming our … Continue reading

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Posted in Monthly, United States | Tagged , , | Comments Off

Comerica Economic Weekly

This week’s bumper crop of data was mixed (a farmer might call it a succotash field, to stretch the analogy) as the negative sign on fourth quarter GDP and the increase in the unemployment rate in January were countered by … Continue reading

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Posted in United States, Weekly | Tagged , | Comments Off

December New Home Sales

                                        Weather May Have Obscured Improving Trend  New Home Sales for December decreased by 7.3 percent, to a 369,000 unit annual rate. The Months’ Supply of new homes increased in December to 4.9 months’ worth. The new home sales data … Continue reading

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Posted in Daily, United States | Tagged , , , | Comments Off