Tag Archives: u.s.

February Leading Indicators, Existing Home Sales, March UI Claims, Fed Wrap-Up

Indicators Positive, Fed Signals Ongoing Unwind from Extraordinary Policy The Leading Economic Index for February increased by 0.5 percent, suggesting a spring thaw is coming. Existing Home Sales for February fell slightly to a 4.60 million unit annual rate. Initial … Continue reading

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February Residential Construction, Consumer Prices, Industrial Production

Permits and Production Up, Prices Tame, Fed Set to Taper February Housing Starts were little changed, down by 0.2 percent to a 907,000 unit annual rate. Permits for new residential construction increased in February by 7.7 percent to a 1,018,000 … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

The perception of uncertainty in the U.S. and global economies appears to have increased. That is not to say actual uncertainty (whatever that is), as measured by the Economic Policy Uncertainty index, has increased. In fact, according to the monthly … Continue reading

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March 2014, Comerica U.S. Economic Update

Weak Q1 But Fundamentals Still Look Good We expect to see a weak first quarter when the advance estimate of 2014Q1 GDP is published at the end of April. Weather impacted almost all economic metrics this winter. Personal consumption was … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

March came in like a lion with much of the nation still in the grip of a colder and snowier-than-normal winter. Economic data this week still reflects the big chill.  However, there are green shoots beneath the snow. Payroll jobs … Continue reading

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February Employment, January International Trade

Better-Than-Expected Jobs Data Greenlights Another Fed Taper  The February Payroll Employment Survey showed a better-than-expected gain of 175,000 jobs. The Unemployment Rate for February increased to 6.7 percent with a weak gain in household employment. The U.S. International Trade Gap … Continue reading

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February ADP Employment, ISM Non-MF, Auto Sales, Ukraine Situation

Soft Data Says U.S. Still Under the Weather in February The ADP Employment Report for February showed a tepid gain of 139,000 private-sector jobs. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for February dipped to a still-positive 51.6 percent. February Auto Sales increased … Continue reading

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January Income and Spending, Construction Spending, Feb. ISM MF

Government Programs Support Income. Heating Bills Support Spending. U.S. Personal Income increased by 0.3 percent in January, driven by special factors. After accounting for inflation and taxes, Real Disposable Personal Income also gained 0.3 percent. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures were … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Data released in the last week of February are consistent with a winter soft patch, induced in large part by the brutal winter weather conditions gripping much of the country. Fortunately, we are also seeing signs that there is a … Continue reading

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Comerica Economic Weekly

Most U.S. economic data this week shows the adverse impact of much-worse-than-normal winter weather. However, there is a current of momentum beneath the ice. The Conference Board’s Leading Index increased by 0.3 percent in January. Both the coincident and the … Continue reading

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